A preliminary U.S.–Iran deal may eventually lower jet fuel prices, but travelers should not expect airlines to rush out and lower fares. Funny how that works…

The recent conflict caused jet fuel prices to nearly double, forcing airlines to cut some flights and raise fares. A framework agreement expected between American and Iranian officials would restore oil exports from the Middle East and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global jet fuel exports.

That sounds like good news, and eventually it may be. But airlines are unlikely to immediately pass those savings on to passengers. Jet fuel is one of the largest expenses for airlines, typically accounting for about 25-35% of flight operating costs. Oil fields, refineries, and shipping routes do not simply restart with the flip of a switch. Even if the political framework holds, it may take months for supply chains to normalize and for jet fuel prices to drop.

A great solo travel tip spotted this week on Live and Let's Fly.

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